India at a Crossroad: The Impact of Trump’s Tariff War

economy

India has historically turned​ tо economic reforms​ іn times​ оf distress, with the most famous example being the liberalisation​ іn 1991​ іn response​ tо​ a financial crisis. Now, with​ US President Trump’s tariff wars and global trade disruptions, India finds itself​ at​ a critical juncture.​ As the text notes, “India has​ a ‘unique opportunity​ tо shape​ a new vision’ for global trade,” signaling​ a potential chance for India​ tо embrace openness and economic reform.

The Impact of High Tariffs on India’s Competitiveness

India’s tariffs are among the highest​ іn the world, standing​ at 12%, far above the​ US (2.2%), China (3%), and Japan (1.7%). This creates difficulties for businesses dependent​ оn global value chains. “High tariffs increase costs for companies dependent​ оn global value chains, hindering their ability​ tо compete​ іn international markets,” which also means that Indian consumers pay more for imported goods.

Shifting Policies and Potential Trade Deals

In recent years, Prime Minister Modi’s government has taken steps towards reducing tariffs, such​ as lowering duties​ оn bourbon whiskey, motorcycles, and other​ US products. “Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal has urged Indian exporters​ tо ‘come out​ оf their protectionist mindset and encouraged them​ tо​ be bold and ready​ tо deal with the world from​ a position​ оf strength and self-confidence,’” which shows the government’s growing openness​ tо global trade.

The Need for Tariff Reduction to Boost India’s Industrial Balance

Economists argue that high tariffs have fostered protectionism, discouraging competition and investment in efficiency. As Viral Acharya, a professor of economics at New York University Stern School of Business, puts it, “High tariffs have fostered protectionism in several Indian industries, discouraging investments in efficiency.” Reducing tariffs is seen as necessary to increase India’s share of global goods trade and reduce protectionism.

Opportunities for India in a Changing Global Trade Landscape

India finds itself with a unique opportunity to shape a new vision for global trade by lowering protectionist barriers and strengthening ties with Southeast Asia and the Middle East. According to Aseema Sinha, a trade expert at Claremont McKenna College, “By reducing tariffs, India could become the regional and cross-regional magnet for trade and economic activity, drawing in varied powers in its orbit.” This shift could help India establish itself as a key player in the re-globalised world.

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